Why did Weekend rToken Chaser bleed — and what exactly would discipline have been worth?
Weekend Liquidity Donor
Weekend spreads ate −$930.61 — 37% of the bleed.
Actual vs behavior-filtered PnL
Dots mark flagged executions — click one for the receipt. Shaded bands = NYSE closed. Amber fill = the recoverable gap.
Ask Mirror
Every answer is computed from these logged trades — never hallucinated. Tap a chip or ask anything; click any [ORDER-ID] to jump to the receipt.
When the leak happens
Worst cell: across 5 trades. Click any traded cell to filter the forensic log ↓
Where the dollars bled
Market orders on rTokens while NYSE is closed get filled against thin synthetic books with ~50bps of excess spread.
→ Route rToken flow to limit orders inside 13:30–20:00 UTC, or sit out the weekend window entirely.
Winners are clipped in minutes while losers are nursed for hours — loss aversion monetised against you.
→ Hold winners via time-stop + trailing ratchet; cut losers at the pre-defined invalidation, not at hope.
Loss-triggered urgency: re-entering within 15 minutes at 1.4×+ size turns one red trade into a tilt cascade.
→ Enforce a 30-minute post-loss cooldown and cap post-loss size at 1.1× trailing average.
Defense guardrails
Sends leak flags + aggregate metrics to qwen3.8-max via the hackathon gateway for an institutional-grade narrative + defense plan.
Active detectors
Tick-by-tick inspection
2026-09-01 03:13ZBTCUSDTBUY—+$101.29PREMATURE_EXIT−$151.94
Banked $101 after 20m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-30 12:03ZrAAPLUSDTBUYmarket−$114.46WEEKEND_SPREAD−$75.51
Market buy on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-29 04:43ZrTSLAUSDTSELLmarket+$100.09WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$157.98
Market sell on rTSLAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $100 after 19m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-29 02:20ZrNVDAUSDTSELLmarket+$94.25WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$149.63
Market sell on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $94 after 15m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-23 12:30ZrTSLAUSDTSELLmarket+$31.07WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$53.75
Market sell on rTSLAUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $31 after 9m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-22 22:58ZrAAPLUSDTSELLmarket−$207.49WEEKEND_SPREAD−$71.78
Market sell on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-22 12:38ZrNVDAUSDTSELLmarket−$173.50WEEKEND_SPREAD−$74.31
Market sell on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-22 10:19ZETHUSDTSELLmarket+$6.50PREMATURE_EXIT−$9.75
Banked $7 after 3m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-22 09:42ZrNVDAUSDTBUYmarket−$85.32WEEKEND_SPREAD−$41.73
Market buy on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-22 09:06ZrAAPLUSDTBUYmarket−$99.36WEEKEND_SPREAD−$37.74
Market buy on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-22 09:01ZrNVDAUSDTBUYmarket+$57.95WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$91.95
Market buy on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $58 after 9m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-22 08:40ZrNVDAUSDTSELLmarket+$7.06WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$15.34
Market sell on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $7 after 9m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-22 08:06ZBTCUSDTBUYmarket+$4.64PREMATURE_EXIT−$6.96
Banked $5 after 11m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-22 03:35ZrAAPLUSDTSELLmarket−$120.01WEEKEND_SPREAD−$64.48
Market sell on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-16 10:56ZrAAPLUSDTSELLmarket−$173.00WEEKEND_SPREAD−$39.58
Market sell on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
2026-08-16 08:34ZrAAPLUSDTBUYmarket−$197.93WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$334.28
Market buy on rAAPLUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Opened 5m after a $204 loss at 1.99× normal size — classic tilt sizing that also lost.
2026-08-16 08:29ZrNVDAUSDTSELLmarket−$203.62WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$319.35
Market sell on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Opened 3m after a $240 loss at 1.90× normal size — classic tilt sizing that also lost.
2026-08-16 08:26ZrTSLAUSDTSELLmarket−$239.99WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$345.02
Market sell on rTSLAUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Opened 8m after a $98 loss at 2.02× normal size — classic tilt sizing that also lost.
2026-08-16 08:18ZrTSLAUSDTBUYmarket−$98.42WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$199.65
Market buy on rTSLAUSDT while NYSE closed (SUN · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Opened 4m after a $193 loss at 2.55× normal size — classic tilt sizing that also lost.
2026-08-15 12:09ZrNVDAUSDTSELLmarket+$156.05WEEKEND_SPREAD+1◈ 2 agree−$239.82
Market sell on rNVDAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.
Banked $156 after 12m while losers are held for hours — disposition asymmetry bleeds ≈1.5× in uncaptured runners.
2026-08-15 03:03ZrTSLAUSDTBUYmarket−$69.07WEEKEND_SPREAD−$28.40
Market buy on rTSLAUSDT while NYSE closed (SAT · closed) — paid synthetic-book spread vacuum ≈0.50% of notional.